World Boxing Champions Promotions
As fight night approaches, the boxing world remains sharply divided over the outcome of the blockbuster welterweight showdown between eight-division world champion Manny “Pacman” Pacquiao and WBA Welterweight World Champion Keith “One Time” Thurman.
A wide-ranging poll of 46 boxing experts—including former world champions, current titleholders, elite trainers, and respected analysts—reveals just how close this matchup is expected to be. While opinions are nearly split down the middle, Pacquiao holds a slight edge in the overall tally heading into their Premier Boxing Champions on FOX Sports Pay-Per-View main event at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas.
Out of the 46 experts polled:
Several respondents believe the fight is so evenly matched that it could be decided by a split decision, while a handful on both sides even see a possible late stoppage—an unusual prediction for a bout featuring two elite-level technicians.
Those siding with Pacquiao point to his experience, speed, southpaw angles, and championship pedigree. Many believe his high-volume combinations, footwork, and ability to rise to the occasion in big fights will allow him to outwork Thurman over twelve rounds.
A number of former champions emphasized Pacquiao’s ring IQ and explosiveness, suggesting that Thurman has never faced a fighter with Pacquiao’s blend of pace, unpredictability, and pressure. Others noted Pacquiao’s activity level compared to Thurman’s recent periods of inactivity as a key factor.
Supporters of Thurman largely focus on youth, size, and physicality. At 30 years old, Thurman is viewed by many as the fresher fighter, with enough power and athleticism to trouble Pacquiao if he can control distance and maintain discipline.
Several trainers and fighters pointed to Thurman’s durability and ability to absorb punishment, arguing that if he can avoid early damage and establish his jab, he has the tools to edge a close decision or even score a late-round stoppage.
Perhaps the most common theme among the expert panel is uncertainty. Many described the contest as a true 50–50 fight, dependent on which version of each fighter shows up on the night. Questions remain about Pacquiao’s age and Thurman’s consistency following layoffs, adding further intrigue.
Multiple experts predicted a dramatic back-and-forth battle, with momentum swings, tactical adjustments, and championship-level intensity from opening bell to final round.
With legends, champions, and trainers split in their predictions, Pacquiao vs Thurman has all the ingredients of a classic. Whether it’s Pacquiao’s experience and volume or Thurman’s youth and power that prevails, the overwhelming consensus is that fans are in for a high-level, action-packed welterweight showdown.
When the bell rings in Las Vegas, the experts’ predictions will finally be put to the test.